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Nvidia made 9-10 billion of net income in 3 months selling physical tools and toys.... calling this all virtual wealth not backed by deliverable asset is a bit strange.
Just watch as it plays out. All I'm gonna say.
I do agree with most of your post I snipped in my quote, but the portion I quoted is my true fear.
About 1-2 years. Then it'll burst. Then we'll figure out what it's really useful for and build that.
Think you quoted a different thread accidentally
. This one's not about auto hdr in windows 11.
Then you won't like this:
I mean not exactly new, Samsung launched the SGR-A1 platform back in 2007.
AI making the decision to kill humans is what The Creator is basically about, by the way.
As long as they go Farnsworth, I don't object:
The goal is models that give a majority of people a 30% boost in productivity without dimming the lights of the whole planet.
Or just do the brain dead repetitive tasks that are so boring that you can’t pay a human to do them because they get so bored they quit to maintain their sanity or they are so tuned out of the job latching to any source to keep their brain engaged that they are completely unproductive. They either get nothing done or what they do have done is laced with so many errors it’s unusable, those are perfect jobs for AI. I remember getting paid damned near $25 an hour in the 90s transcribing medical data, just trying to read badly smudged, stained, incomplete, misspelled forms and transcribe them into digital forms. No music, no phones, no internet, and no coffee, just a Windows 3.x machine with an overly bright CRT and endless bankers boxes with the sort of filing you would expect from a toddler. Most quit in a week or 2, I managed stuck it out for the 2 months because I had tuition to pay, it was hell.
There's also a lot of industries that also require specialization that for whatever reason people are refusing to do.
All complex tasks are just a bunch of brain dead repetitive tasks. The idea right now is to try and replace people in high paying jobs with AI, because ultimately that's what they do.
Well all I can say about my time doing the medical transposing was that the best people working there were the crackheads. They were on time, worked hard, and weren’t the worst hygiene offenders, some of the neckbeards stank to high hell.
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Let's face it - an almost 7 year old 1080ti is still enough GPU to run upcoming games on high quality. About the only thing you're missing out on is ray tracing, and is ray tracing really worth the gigantic increase in cost that a current gen card costs?
Not so sure about triple, but that level of demand for AI compute will not be for a long time (at least chance are) and AI compute will probably be on the latest node unlike gaming stuff.
The Next Switch is likely using a modified Jetson Orin Nano, that can be manufactured on the current Samsung 8N nodes which got revamped in 2021 addressing the issues Nvidia had with it originally.
I agree with you... the X factor will be Intel and AMD really.
Without going full soap box here, there already isn't any form of accountability. Technically the guy giving the orders is 'supposed to be' accountable. And we had more than a few discussions about this idea at the Nuremberg Trials (that you should dis-obey unlawful orders, or do the moral thing in the face of immorality, but frankly that isn't how any armed service operates). The reality is non-combatants are killed everyday and no one is held accountable outside of vigilantism.
Everyone has their own standards. No need to force anything on anyone.
As I recall, the games the neighbor "kids" (17, 20, and 22) play are League of Legends, Counter Strike, and similar esports titles. I think a 1080ti should be able to max out a 1080p 144hz display on those games, and honestly, I don't think any of the 3 have a video card as good as the 1080ti either (I helped build their gaming machines). Unless they upgraded and I don't know about it, the oldest built his Christmas 2018 and got a 2070, the middle has a 2070 Super, and the youngest a 3060ti
That start to be above the 1080ti (+17%), the 2070 super would be a tie, going by techpowerup ranking
There aren't a ton of reviews that contain both cards. The best article I know of shows the 3060 vs the 1080ti (https://www.techspot.com/review/2525-geforce-gtx-1080-ti-revisit/) with the 1080ti winning by about 3% on average. 1080ti wins in older games, loses in newer games, and the most popular esports games don't seem to be tested. Given this, the 3060ti will almost certainly win most comparisons, but not by enough of a margin that you'd replace the 1080ti with a 3060ti.
This right here is the reason why Nvidia doesn't want to make GPU's. The cost of making a GPU faster now has diminishing returns. To make a GPU faster you need to consume more power, you need to generate more heat, you need to make the die sizes larger. This means the cost of GPU's need to keep up, but fewer people are now buying GPU's than before. This is why AMD and Nvidia haven't made a good replacement for the GTX 1060 and the RX 580, because in order to do so means selling the equivalent of a GTX 1080 Ti. Nvidia doesn't want to deal with this problem, so of course Nvidia has been expanding to other markets that aren't gaming.
We've seen this before with Crypto, and it'll end like Crypto. With Nvidia having too much stock.
Would be foolish for them to do so. At some point either AI's fad ends, or others will join in on the AI hardware sale. AI is so up in the air that nobody knows where it'll go.
Nah, enterprise GPU’s are made to order and Nvidia does trade-ins and buy-backs, those are sold before they leave assembly and rarely end up on the second hand market.
AI isn't crypto sadly. To many companies rolling out too many useful products. Crypto doesn't produce anything of value. AI is producing value. I know a few people working in AI... they aren't burning VC money or sucking up Crypto investor dollars. They are producing products that are saving companies insane amonuts of money. Two seperate companies I know of where friends are working... they started small got one client a few years ago. Now they are using the same models to score customers in completely different markets. I have a cousin at one company... he has been there 5 years now. First 2 years no cusotmers just him and a few other guys sweating in an office. 5 years later they can't hire sales and support fast enough to keep up with demand. The AI explosion is just starting.
Come on, really now?You forget they skipped Volta consumer cards I guess. Volta was no faster then the previous gen in terms of raster. The blackwell design is almost entirely geared to AI workloads.
I sort of have to agree with this one, I expect the new architecture and new node will net the usual ~15% performance improvements clock to clock for Raster, but it will have much greater performance with RT and such. That's fine though if you look at the features that are eating FPS it's all the stuff that has been offloaded to the Tensor cores, that's where the current bottlenecks are, turn off all those features and most titles perform just fine across the whole lineup with their intended resolutions
That is true assuming Jensen is willing to sell that silicon into the low profit gaming sector.
It seems almost official that it will be 0 of the latest and greatest functional part going for gaming for all of 2024, so you are more than right about that.