The interesting part is probably the people who interprets facts and those who just want something to be in a certain way.
AMD has said they expect a big revenue loss on graphic products in Q1 and will launch new products Q2 which clearly puts Feb/March out of the question.
But there are alot of people who want a new card now, because they think the markets need it or for a more personal reason. And they're the ones who interpret signs of a launch in all forms of information that floats around. Yet they ignore statements from the only people who actually know, because they don't want to see the negative news that reality brings them.
You have AMD saying Q2 and other credible sources saying it might be later then that, and then you have guys who just know that a Chinese export document is a clear sign that it's close because they want it to be.
The only thing we have is rumors and you decide what you wanna believe...
I definitely think you hit the nail on the head where information is getting overly interpreted. I'd rather prefer the old method of "a source close to us" than some guy on a forum said, or based off our super skills at navigating corporate shipping documents we believe XYZ is going to happen.
What's really bothersome is AMD representatives dropping very coy statements that completely debunk all logical rumor interpretations based on all the above. At the end of the day it's basically ground zero where nobody really knows whats going on because AMD has become a master of hiding future GPU products much better than Nvidia. I'm more inclined to believe AMD's Q2 hints more than anything, despite thinking as others do that it's far later than people expected last year.
Either way they're really starting to push 2 year cycles which is I think people can see as being a very bad business decision. Nvidia's doing the same thing by saving the best chip for the refresh and then just releasing cut down crap on the refreshes, but at least they're trying to stick with yearly releases. I think we all want sooner rather than later from AMD because the market share they've lost on this 2 year schedule has been tremendous.